Marine governance to avoid tipping points: Can we adapt the adaptability envelope?

Last modified: 
June 29, 2017 - 8:12am
Type: Journal Article
Year of publication: 2016
Date published: 03/2016
Authors: Silvia Serrao-Neumann, Julie Davidson, Claudia Baldwin, Aysin Dedekorkut-Howes, Joanna Ellison, Neil Holbrook, Michael Howes, Christine Jacobson, Edward Morgan
Journal title: Marine Policy
Volume: 65
Pages: 56 - 67
ISSN: 0308597X

Combined pressures from climate change, resources demand and environmental degradation could lead to the collapse of marine systems and increase the vulnerability of populations dependent on them. In this paper an adaptability envelope framework is applied to investigate how governance arrangements may be addressing changing conditions of marine social-ecological systems, particularly where thresholds might have been crossed. The analysis focuses on three Australian case studies that have been significantly impacted by variations or changes in weather and climate over the past decade. Findings indicate that, in some cases, global scale drivers are triggering tipping points, which challenge the potential success of existing governance arrangements at the local scale. Governance interventions to address tipping points have been predominantly reactive, despite existing scientific evidence indicating that thresholds are approaching and/or being crossed. It is argued that marine governance arrangements need to be framed so that they also anticipate increasing marine social-ecological system vulnerability, and therefore build appropriate adaptive capacity to buffer against potential tipping points.

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